As the Premier League season concludes, Chelsea’s aspirations for a Champions League berth hang in the balance.
Currently positioned fifth with 66 points, they are level with Newcastle and Aston Villa, trailing Manchester City by two points.
Their final match against Nottingham Forest is pivotal, but several factors could impede their qualification.
1. Inconsistent Form in 2025
Chelsea’s performance in the latter half of the season has been erratic. Since the start of 2025, they’ve secured the fewest points among the top eight contenders for European spots.
This downturn is partly attributed to the dip in form of key player Cole Palmer, who has managed only two goals and no assists this year. His reduced impact has left the team lacking a creative spark in crucial matches.
2. Fixture Congestion and Fatigue
The scheduling of matches has placed Chelsea at a disadvantage. They face Nottingham Forest on May 25, just three days before the UEFA Conference League final against Real Betis.
In contrast, Betis completed their La Liga fixtures earlier, granting them additional rest. Manager Enzo Maresca has voiced concerns over this disparity, suggesting it could affect player performance and recovery.
3. Managerial Instability and Tactical Uncertainty
Despite the appointment of Enzo Maresca bringing a fresh tactical vision, Chelsea have struggled to maintain consistency in their playing style.
Frequent changes in formation, player roles, and matchday lineups have hindered the team’s cohesion. The players are still adjusting to Maresca’s positional play approach, which demands high technical discipline and tactical awareness, something that takes time to instill.
This transitional period has cost Chelsea valuable points, especially in games where tactical clarity and familiarity could have made the difference. In a tight Champions League race, this ongoing adjustment phase could be a critical setback.
